Study logs five-fold increase in autism in New York-New Jersey region – why is that, do you think?

Study logs five-fold increase in autism in New York-New Jersey region
Study logs five-fold increase in autism in New York-New Jersey region

Documented cases of autism in the New York–New Jersey metro region increased by as much as 500 per cent between 2000 and 2016, with the highest increase among children without intellectual disabilities, according to a Rutgers study.

This is the opposite of past findings, which have suggested that autism typically co-occurs with intellectual impairment.

“One of the assumptions about autism is that it occurs alongside intellectual disabilities,” said Josephine Shenouda, an adjunct professor at the Rutgers School of Public Health and lead author of the study published in Pediatrics. “This claim was supported by older studies suggesting that up to 75 per cent of children with autism also have an intellectual disability.”

“Our paper shows that this assumption is not true,” Shenouda said. “In fact, in this study, two-in-three children with autism had no intellectual disability whatsoever.”

Using biannual data from the New Jersey Autism Study, researchers identified 4,661 8-year-olds with autism in four New Jersey counties (Essex, Hudson, Ocean and Union) during the study period. Of these, 1,505 (32.3 per cent) had an intellectual disability; 2,764 (59.3 per cent) did not.

Subsequent analysis found that rates of autism co-occurring with intellectual disability increased two-fold between 2000 and 2016 – from 2.9 per 1,000 to 7.3 per 1,000. Rates of autism with no intellectual disability jumped five-fold, from 3.8 per 1,000 to 18.9 per 1,000.

Shenouda said there might be explanations for the observed increases, though more research is needed to specify the precise causes.

“Better awareness of and testing for autism does play a role,” said Walter Zahorodny, associate professor at the Rutgers New Jersey Medical School and senior author of the study. “But the fact that we saw a 500 per cent increase in autism among kids without any intellectual disabilities – children we know are falling through the cracks – suggests that something else is also driving the surge.”

Autism prevalence is associated with race and socioeconomic status.  The Rutgers study identified that Black children with autism and no intellectual disabilities were 30 per cent less likely to be identified than White children. In comparison, kids living in affluent areas were 80 per cent more likely to be identified with autism and no intellectual disabilities than children in underserved areas.

Using New Jersey Autism Study data and U.S. census data, the researchers were able to estimate rates of autism undercounting in the four counties.

Shenouda said addressing the findings could help close identification gaps and eventually bring much-needed autism services to lower-income areas.

“With up to 72 per cent of the autism population having the borderline or average intellectual ability, emphasis should be placed on early screening, early identification and early intervention,” she said. “Because gains in intellectual functioning are proportionate with intense intervention at younger ages, it’s essential that universal screening is in place, especially in underserved communities.”